New inheritance tax rules in the United Kingdom could trigger a sale of Priority Pass, the world’s largest airport lounge access program, and related travel businesses. As of April 6th, estates exceeding £2.5 million will face inheritance taxes, forcing the family-owned Collinson group—which operates Priority Pass, The Club lounges, and various loyalty programs—to restructure or sell. This shift has implications for millions of travelers who rely on these services, as private equity intervention often leads to reduced quality and higher costs.

The Impending Sale and Private Equity’s Role

The founder of Collinson, aged 79, will likely trigger a business control change upon their passing, as the company will be subject to a 20% inheritance tax on assets above £2.5 million. This situation opens the door for private equity firms to acquire the business, a move that historically results in aggressive cost-cutting measures.

Private equity’s focus on short-term profits means prices will rise, likely through increased fees charged to card issuers and tighter contract terms. Card companies may respond by capping lounge visits or increasing annual card fees, ultimately affecting consumers. Lounges will operate at maximum capacity, with reduced staffing, lower-quality food and beverage options, and delayed maintenance.

The Erosion of Lounge Experience

Expect a two-tiered system where basic access is stripped down, with premium services—such as better food, dedicated seating, or reservations—sold as add-ons. This mirrors the trend of unbundling benefits, where formerly included perks now require extra payment.

Private equity’s pressure for higher yield per seat-hour will also enforce stricter time limits (e.g., 2-3 hours) in lounges, making them feel more crowded and less inviting. The long-term investment needed to maintain quality will be sacrificed in favor of immediate revenue extraction.

Loyalty Programs and Merchant Offers at Risk

Collinson’s Valuedynamx division, which handles $1.4 billion in loyalty transactions annually, may also suffer under new ownership. Expect increased breakage rates (points expiring due to tracking issues) as underinvestment in technology leads to customer dissatisfaction. While this may improve short-term financials, it erodes trust and drives customers to competitors.

The current family-controlled structure, which prioritizes long-term sustainability, is demonstrably more beneficial for both the company and consumers than a short-sighted private equity takeover.

Tax Avoidance Strategies and Relocation

Collinson could mitigate the tax burden through complex trust structures, similar to those used in the U.S., where ownership shares are held in trusts with restrictions to artificially lower valuation. However, U.K. regulations make this more challenging. Alternatively, the company could relocate ownership outside the U.K., even with exit charges, given that most revenue comes from international operations.

Ultimately, the U.K. tax changes pose a clear threat to Priority Pass and its associated businesses, potentially leading to a decline in service quality and increased costs for millions of travelers. The shift from a long-term, family-owned model to private equity control could dismantle the carefully built ecosystem of lounge access and loyalty programs.